Thursday, January 31, 2013

History Suggests Eagles Will Have to Bring House to Lose This One

Eagles are 4-2 against the Chiefs and beat them 34-14 in their last meeting in 2009
It was one of the best swan dives in history as the Eagles made their run to the Doormat Bowl, but oddsmakers in Athens are putting their money on Kansas City to get the big "L" in this year's match up.

"Eagles will have to bring the house to lose this one," said Jimmy the Greek through an interpreter at the Oracle of Delphi. Jimmy has been dead for over 20 years. "But that don't make no difference," he said. "I still say the Chiefs will never win this game."

Other living experts agree.

The Eagles are 4-2 overall against the Chiefs, and they blew a perfect opportunity to lose to Kansas City in 2009, but bad offensive calls on the field resulted ina 34-14 win over the stumbling Chiefs. "You don't score 5 touchdowns and plan to lose," a Philly fan who asked to remain anonymous said.

The Eagles averaged 17.5 points and over 354 yards of offense per game in 2012. On the other side of the ball they gave up 27.8 points and 343.2 yards and were ranked 29th in defense. Michael Vick and Nick Foles combined for a 79 passer rating. Overall, the Eagles were 29th in the NFL in offense, though ranked 15th in total yards. The lesson here? They move the ball but never put together more than two first downs at a time.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, managed just 13.2 points and 319 yards per game while giving up 26.6 points and over 356.5 yards--the vast majority of them in passing--per game. Defense was ranked 25th and offense was at the very bottom of the NFL. Matt Cassel had a passer rating of 66.7 and Brady Quin 60.1. One bright light, Jamaal Charles rushed for 1,509 yards and 5 TDs, almost all of them without a single block. The lesson here? Turnovers. Chiefs excelled in the fumble and TD or pick 6 plays. And the bend but don't break defense was mostly bend over defense.

It may be close, but Vegas is giving KC 8-1 odds to lose with a 9 point spread (but Charles will run for over 100 yards).

What do you think? Gentlemen, weigh in on this exciting, crucial, final contest of the worst of the NFL in 2012.






3 comments:

  1. OK, let's get down and dirty on the comparisons: These two teams are stunningly even in almost every statistical category. It's much more similar than I thought.

    Defense? The Chiefs rank dead last, 32nd, but points given up (KC 26.5, Philly 27.7) per game is almost the same.

    The Cheaps and Pheebles TIED for give/take stats, in a dead heat at -24.
    HOWEVER, the Eagles QBs accounted for 33 of the 37 total turnovers for the year, whereas the Cheaps spread it around a little (Quinn and Cassell did 28) as their bumbling receivers chipped in to round out the total of 37.

    The Cheaps are, of course, this year's lowest scoring team, checking in at 13.2, whereas the Pheeble's 17.5 looks almost gaudy by comparison. The Cheaps DO have a running game, but, despite their pile of turnovers, still managed to punt 83 times, finishing in 5th place in the punting derby (Arizona won by a landslide, 122). The Eagles only punted 71 times, finishing 20th. What were they DOING with the ball?

    Honestly, I think the Crudinals might really be the worst team, but they got started late. Too Bad!

    Both teams aren't actually toooo bad on pass defense (Eagles 9th, Cheaps 12th), but they don't intercept the ball, so that means a lotta time out there on the field.

    The turnover king for the season was the Jets Mark Sanchez (32), but if you combine both Vick and Foles for the Eagles, they win (33)!!
    Quinn and Cassell come in with 28, which would have placed them 4th. Still, not too shabby.

    The Eagles gave up 48 sacks (Arizona, again, takes it with 58) whereas the Cheaps only gave up 40. That's barely stopping people, people.

    What does this all mean? It means the Cheaps are far better at not moving the ball, no matter who you are. They are unconcerned about the opposition. With Jim Zorn as QB coach, what could possibly go right?
    The Pheebles, on the other hand, know how to come close, but still lose. Problem is, the Chiefs don't make it close, losing by an average of almost 2 touchdowns each game. The turnover derby is the wild card. If Quinn plays, he doesn't fumble. If Vick plays for the Eagles, the ball is on the turf.

    KC by -9 points (as in, they LOSE).

    -wacko



    ReplyDelete
  2. I agree, what were the Eagles doing with the ball? Not scoring, that is for sure. You may be right, the Crudinals might really be the worst team.

    ReplyDelete
  3. So, who won the Moldy Carpet?

    ReplyDelete

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.